2010 WC Update (post Round 2, groups G-H)

What could happen after the next game

Group G

June 25^th, early games:

Brazil – Portugal

Ivory Coast – North Korea

Brazil has advanced

Brazil will finish first with:

• A tie or a win over Portugal.
  

Portugal will advance with:

• A tie or a win over Brazil
  
• A loss and Ivory Coast not winning against North Korea; or Ivory Coast wins and the combined GD in both games is less than 9
  
  • If combined GD = 9: Ivory Coast scores at most 5 goals more than Portugal (if Ivory Coast scores 6 more goals -> Draw lots).
    

Portugal will finish first with:

• A win
  

Ivory Coast will advance with

• A win over North Korea provided Portugal losses and the combined GD in both games is over 9
  
  • If combined GD = 9: Ivory Coast scores 7+ goals more than Portugal (if Ivory Coast scores 6 more goals -> Draw lots).
    

North Korea has been eliminated

Group H

June 25^th, late games:

Chile – Spain

Switzerland – Honduras

Chile will Advance with:

• A tie or a win over Spain (first)
  
• A loss, provided Switzerland doesn't win; or
  
• A loss, provided both games end with a 1 goal victories and Switzerland scores at most 1 goals more than Chile
  

Spain will advance with:

• A win over Chile
  
• A tie, provided Switzerland doesn't win.
  
• A 1 goal loss provided Switzerland loses by 1 goal.
  
• A 2 goals loss provided one of the following:
  
  • Switzerland loses by 1 goal while scoring no more goals than Spain.
    
  • Honduras wins by 2 goals while scoring at most 2 goals more than Spain
    
• A 3 goals loss provided Honduras wins by 1 goal while scoring at most 2 goals more than Spain
  

Spain will finish first with:

• A win, provided Switzerland margin of victory (MOV) is not better than Spain's
  
  • If Switzerland MOV is 1 better than Spain's: Switzerland scoring no more goals than Spain.
    

Switzerland will advance with

• A win, provided Spain doesn't win
  
• A tie, provided Spain loses
  
• A one goal loss, provided Spain losses by 3+ goals
  
  • If Spain loses by 2 goals: Switzerland scores more goals than Spain.       
    

Spain will finish first with:

• A win, provided Spain wins and Switzerland MOV is 2+ better than Spain's
  
  • If Switzerland MOV is 1 better than Spain's: Switzerland scores more goals than Spain.
    

Honduras will advance with

• A 2+ goals win over Switzerland provided the combined GD of both games is 5+
  

If combined GD = 4: Honduras scores 3+ goals more goals than Spain