Sunday, June 20, 2010

2010 WC Update (post Round 2, groups C-F)

What could happen after the next game

Group C

June 23rd, early games:

Slovenia – England

USA – Algeria

Slovenia will Advance with:

  • A tie or win over England
  • A loss, provided USA – Algeria ends in a tie; or an Algeria one goal win while scoring at most 3 goals more than Slovenia.  

Slovenia will finish first with:

  • A win over England.
  • A tie provided USA doesn't win; or USA wins by 1 goal while scoring less than Slovenia.
    • If USA and Slovenia score the same number of goals –> draw lots

USA will Advance with:

  • A win over Algeria
  • A tie, provided England loses; or England ties while scoring at most 1 goal more than USA  
    • If England ties and scores 2 more goals than USA –> draw lots

USA will finish first with:

  • A 2+ goals win and Slovenia – England tie.
  • A 1 goal win and Slovenia – England tie while scoring more goals than Slovenia.
    • If USA and Slovenia score the same number of goals –> draw lots
  • A win and England wins while scoring at most 1 goal more than USA.
    • If England scores 2 goals more than USA –> draw lots

England will advance with:

  • A win over Slovenia:
  • A tie, provided USA loses; or USA ties while England scores 3+ goals more than USA  
    • If USA ties and scores 2 less goals than England –> draw lots

England will finish first with:

  • A win and USA Not wining.
  • A win and USA wins while England scores 3+ goals more than USA.
    • If England scores 2 goals more than USA –> draw lots

Algeria will advance with:

  • A win plus England not beating Slovenia

Group D

June 23rd, late games:

Ghana – Germany

Serbia – Australia

Ghana will Advance with:

  • A tie or a win over Germany
  • A 1 goal loss, provided Serbia ties while scoring at most 1 goal more than Ghana
  • A loss provided Australia wins and the combined GD in both games is less than 5
    • If combined GD = 5: Australia scores no more goals than Ghana (if Australia scores 1 goal more than Ghana –> Draw lots)

Ghana will finish first with:

  • A win over Germany.
  • A tie and Serbia not beating Australia.

Germany will advance with:

  • A win over Ghana
  • A tie provided Serbia – Australia tie; or Australia wins by no more than 6 goals
    • If Australia wins by 7 goals: Australia scores at most 3 goals more than Germany.

Germany will finish first with:

  • A win and a Serbia's margin of victory is at most 2 more than Germany's
    • If Serbia's Margin of victory is 3 more than Germany's: Serbia scoring at most 2 goals more than Germany.

Serbia will advance with

  • A win over Australia
  • A tie, provided a Germany loss; or a Ghana loss by 2+ goals
    • If Ghana losses by 1 goal: Serbia scores 2+ goals more than Ghana.       

Australia will advance with

  • A win provided Germany losses
  • A 8+ goals win provided Germany ties
  • A 7 goals win provided Germany ties while scoring 4+ more goals than Germany
  • A win provided Ghana losses and the combined GD of both games is 6+
    • If combined GD = 5: Australia scores 2+ goals more than Ghana (if Australia scores 1 goal more than Ghana –> Draw lots)

Group E

June 24th, late games:

Netherlands – Cameron

Japan – Denmark

Netherlands has advanced

Netherlands will finish first with:

  • A tie or a win over Cameron.
  • A loss and one of the following provided Japan – Denmark end in a tie; of the combined GD of both games is no more than 2 (Japan win), 3 (Denmark win).
    • If Japan wins and combined GD = 3: Japan scores at most 2 goals more than Netherlands.
    • If Denmark wins and combined GD = 4: Denmark scores at most 1 goal more than Netherlands.

Japan will advance with:

  • A tie or a win over Denmark

Japan will finish first with:

  • A win and a Netherlands loss and combined GD of both games is greater than 3
    • If combined GD = 3: Japan scoring 3+ goals more than Netherlands.

Denmark will advance with

  • A win over Japan

Denmark will finish first with:

  • A win and a Netherlands loss and combined GD of both games is greater than 4
    • If combined GD = 4: Japan scoring 2+ goals more than Netherlands.

Cameron has been eliminated

Group F

June 24th, early games:

Paraguay – New Zealand

Italy – Slovakia

Paraguay will advance with:

  • A tie or a win over Italy
  • A loss provided Italy – Slovakia end in a tie; or Slovakia wins and the combined GD of both games is no more than 3
    • If combined GD = 4: Slovakia scores at most 2 goals more than Paraguay.

Paraguay will finish first with:

  • A win or a tie and Italy wins by 1 goal
    • If Italy wins by 2 goals: Italy scores no more goals than Paraguay (if Italy scores 1 goal more than Paraguay –> Draw lots).

Italy will Advance with:

  • A win over Slovakia
  • A tie and New Zealand loss; or New Zealand ties while scoring less goals than Italy
    • If both New Zealand and Italy score than same number of goals –> Draw lots

Italy will finish first with:

  • A win over Slovakia and margin of victory is greater than New Zealand's Margin of victory.
    • If Margin of victory is the same: scoring more goals than New Zealand (if both score the same number of goal -> Draw lots).

New Zealand will advance with:

  • A win over Paraguay
  • A tie and Italy ties while scoring less goals than New Zealand
    • If both New Zealand and Italy score than same number of goals –> Draw lots

New Zealand will finish first with:

  • A win over Paraguay and Italy's not wining.
  • A win and margin of victory is greater than Italy's Margin of victory.
    • If Margin of victory is the same: scoring more goals than New Zealand (if both score the same number of goal -> Draw lots).

Slovakia will advance with:

  • A win over Italy and New Zealand not wining
  • A win over Italy and Paraguay loss provided the combined GD of both games is more than 4
    • If combined GD = 4: Slovakia scores 3+ goals more than Paraguay.

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