Sunday, March 29, 2009

2010 WCQ update (Post March 28th games)

Overall status

  • Qualified: 1
  • Alive: 100
  • Eliminated: 98
  • Did not participate/withdrew: 9
  • Total: 208

Summary

  • Qualified (1): South Africa(*)
  • Formality (0):
  • One foot in (2): Australia, Japan
  • Looking good (3): Paraguay, Spain(*), Netherlands
  • Open (26): 82 teams including 1 playoff are sill in the chase (add 5 above and 12 bellow to make the 100 teams that are still alive).
    • Playoff (1/12): New Zealand
  • On life support (13): UAE, Malta, Moldova, San Marino, Armenia, Estonia, Andorra, Kazakhstan, Faroe Islands, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Liechtenstein, Montenegro

(*) - Projected as a seeded team in the WC (last two seeds are still up in the air)

By Confederation

  1. UEFA (13/53)
    • Qualified (0)
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (0)
    • Looking good (2) Spain(*), Netherlands
    • Alive (51->11) Albania, Andorra, Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan,
      Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, England, Estonia, Faroe Islands, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany(*), Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy(*), Kazakhstan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macedonia, Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Northern Ireland, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, San Marino, Scotland, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, Wales
    • Eliminated (0)
  2. CSF (4.5/10)
    • Qualified (0)
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (0)
    • Looking good (1) Paraguay
    • Alive (9-> 3.5) Argentina(*), Bolivia, Brazil(*), Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela
    • Eliminated (0)
  3. CONCACAF (3.5/35)
    • Qualified (0)
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (0)
    • Looking good (0)
    • Alive (6 -> 3.5) USA, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Trinidad and Tobago, Mexico, Honduras
    • Eliminated (29) Dominica, Turks and Caicos Islands, Cayman Islands, Aruba, St. Kitts and Nevis, British Virgin Islands, Dominican Republic, US Virgin Islands, Montserrat, Anguilla, Nicaragua, Barbados, St. Lucia, Bermuda, Antigua and Barbuda, Belize, Bahamas, Puerto Rico, St. Vincent/Grenadines, Grenada, Guyana, Panama, Neth. Antilles, Canada, Cuba, Haiti, Suriname, Guatemala, Jamaica
  4. CAF (6/53)
    • Qualified (1) South Africa
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (0)
    • Looking good (0)
    • Alive (20 -> 5) Algeria, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Gabon, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Malawi, Mali, Morocco, Mozambique, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sudan, Togo, Tunisia, Zambia
    • Eliminated (29) Somalia, Comoros, Guinea-Bissau, Seychelles, Mauritania, Djibouti, Niger, Mauritius, Tanzania, Lesotho, Namibia, Equatorial Guinea, Liberia, Burundi, Botswana, Ethiopia, Congo DR, Zimbabwe, Angola, Cape Verde Islands, Libya, Madagascar, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Senegal, Chad, Congo, Uganda, Gambia
    • Did not participate/withdrew (3) Central African Republic, Sao Tome & Principe, Eritrea
  5. AFC (4.5/46)
    • Qualified (0)
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (2) Australia, Japan
    • Looking good (0)
    • Alive (8 -> 2.5) Qatar, Bahrain, South Korea, North Korea, Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iran
    • Eliminated (31) Bangladesh, Macau, Vietnam, Palestine, Afghanistan, India, Nepal, Maldives, Cambodia, Taiwan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia, Timor-Leste, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Myanmar, Pakistan, Yemen, Tajikistan, Indonesia, Hong Kong, China, Oman, Thailand, Jordan, Turkmenistan, Singapore, Lebanon, Kuwait, Iraq, Syria
    • Did not participate/withdrew (5) Bhutan, Brunei, Laos, Guam, Philippines
  6. OFC (0.5/11)
    • Qualified (0)
    • Formality (0)
    • One foot in (0)
    • Looking good (0)
    • Alive (1 -> 0.5) New Zealand(P)
    • Eliminated (9) American Samoa, Cook Islands, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tahiti, Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, New Caledonia
    • Did not participate/withdrew (1) Papua New Guinea

For actual elimination dates and order see 2010 WC Eliminations timeline.

When and what in the confederations

  1. UEFA: Group phase played from 20 August 2008 - 14 October 2009 (six rounds already played, but most teams have played 5 or less games) to determine nine qualified group winners. Playoffs in November 2009 to determine four additional qualifiers from top eight second placed teams.
  2. CSF: Group phase played from 13 October 2007 - 13 October 2009 (eleven rounds already played) to determine four qualified teams. Fifth placed team will play against the fourth place CONCACAF team in November 2009.
  3. CONCACAF: Final group phase (4th round) played from 11 February - 14 October 2009 to determine three qualified teams and one additional team, which will play the Fifth place team from CSF in the playoff.
  4. CAF: Final group phase (3rd round) played 28 March 2009 - 14 November 2009 to determine five qualified teams (one round has been played).
  5. AFC: Final group phase (4th round) from 6 September 2008 - 17 June 2009 (five rounds already played) will qualify four teams and an additional two teams will qualify for a playoff. The winner of this playoff will play with New Zealand with the winner qualifying to the world cup.
  6. OFC: Completed. New Zealand qualified for the playoff against AFC fifth place team.

Who might be in or out next match day

  1. UEFA: The next full rounds are to take place Apr 1st.
    • Group 1
      • Malta will be eliminated with a loss at Hungary and Denmark not losing at home to Albania.
    • Group 3
      • San Marino will be eliminated with a loss at Poland.
    • Group 7
      • Armenia will be eliminated with a loss at Estonia, a Bosnia win over Belgium and Turkey win over Spain. Actually they will still be able to win a tie breaker over Bosnia if they can make up 23 goals
  2. CSF: Round 12 is to take place Apr 1st. At this point it is too early to have any teams qualified or eliminated.
  3. CONCACAF: Round 3 is to take place on Apr 1st 2009. At this point it is too early to have any teams qualified or eliminated.
  4. CAF: Round 2 is to take place on Apr 1st 2009. At this point it is too early to have any teams qualified or eliminated.
  5. AFC: Round 6 is to take place on Apr 1st 2009.
    • Group A
      • Australia with a win over Uzbekistan will clinch an AFC 3rd place playoff spot; in addition, if Qatar and Bahrain draw, Australia would qualify.
      • Japan is virtually assured of an AFC 3rd place playoff spot if Qatar and Bahrain draw and Uzbekistan don’t win. Japan will have to lose 3 games; Qatar will have to make up 13 goals vs. Australia and Japan; and Bahrain has to beat Uzbekistan and Australia or Uzbekistan had to tie Australia and beat Bahrain.
    • Group B
      • UAE will be eliminated with a loss at Saudi Arabia
  6. OFC: New Zealand qualified for the playoff against AFC fifth place team.

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